Australia’s Population in 2101
by TheRealists ~ April 7th, 2009
The Australian Bureau of Statistics occasionally publishes projections of Australia’s population based on various growth scenarios.
Currently Australia has a population of 21 million. To put that a little into perspective in 1955 it was 10 million and in 1983 our population was 15 million.
In other words, it took 28 years to grow our population from 10 million to 15 million people, and 21 years to grow from 15 million to 20 million people. Based on ABS data it will take just 15 years to go from 20 million to 25 million people.
Population growth can be a little like the snowball effect, starting off slowly but gaining momentum as time goes by.
Below is a graph of Australia’s population over the last 2000 years. Estimates vary but an estimate of 750,000 was used for Australia’s population before European settlement. A graph based on Australian Bureau of Statistics data was used for the years from 1788.
As can be seen, there has been a marked increase in Australia’s population in the 200 years since European settlement:
Now let’s use a graph based on Australian Bureau of Statistics data to see what Australia’s population is projected to be under one scenario in the year 2101. Our population of about 20m now seems quite small compared to what it is projected to be at the turn of the century:
One has to question whether Australian’s really want the population to rise to 62 million, as is projected by the ABS.
Unfortunately for people who are concerned about the growth in Australia’s population, neither major party has a population policy.
What is making things worse is that immigration, even in the face of a global economic crisis, remains at record levels (recent government announcements of immigrant reductions for 2009 still leaves us with more immigrants that the previous record year of 2008).
Australia has one of the highest overseas born populations in the world, and one of the highest per-capita immigration programs in the world.
Are we sleepwalking towards a future, determined by our politicians, that is seldom reported in the media and the general population is scarcely aware of?
April 10th, 2009 at 7:10 pm
Worse still, nearly all of this population growth will be driven by immigration, mainly from Asian and other non-European countries. Traditional Australia will be demographically swamped.
April 12th, 2009 at 9:11 pm
i drive for a living and have noticed certain areas are gaining more and more of the same race. what people dont understand is migrants dont migrate here to help our economy they come here to create there own economy.I even believe some skilled migrants come here just to retire leaving the same skilled shortages the government complains about. Ever seen an asian eatery hiring westerns? Ever seen chinese people driving in abundance holdens and fords,no they drive japanese cars.
Went into an asian bookstore yesterday and not one book was in english.
And why do asians shops write in english and asian. Asian people need to try to accept western culture including the language, if they are able to live in australia without the need for english then i blame the government for that, unless the government wants us to learn mandarin as a second language, at this stage english is our national language. West and East will never mix its just not possible.
April 13th, 2009 at 5:45 pm
Shane, our Federal Government is essentially giving the populations of Asian and other non-Western countries the greenlight to colonise Australia. There is no requirement that immigrants actually assimilate anymore. Rather, immigrants are encouraged by the proponents of multiculturalism to remake Australia in their own image. Under state-sanctioned multiculturalism, the cultures of newly-arrived immigrant groups are treated as sacred and celebrated at the expense of the culture of Australia’s founding Anglo-Celtic majority. The result is that traditional Anglo-Celtic Australia is rapidly being replaced by Third World peoples and cultures.
April 19th, 2009 at 8:44 am
“I even believe some skilled migrants come here just to retire leaving the same skilled shortages the government complains about.”
Instead of using land to build farms and factories, Australia and New Zealand are now being turned into big housing estates for people from crowded countries to retire, or sem-retire to.
The problem with just selling land for a living though, is land is a finite resource. Eventually our quality of life and standard of living will suffer from this kind of short-term approach, and as you say, it’s not really solving labour shortages either.
July 22nd, 2009 at 8:56 pm
most of these people who have Migrated to Australia in recent Years, will have children in Australia and these new people will grow up as australians among old Generation White Australians, accept australian values and think Australian, people, we can’t just put the cap on these people when they have only arrived recently, think towards what the future will become, look at most young Australians of Vietnamese Decent, I can Hardly register them as asian cause their attitudes are similar to mine as a White Australian, you will see that with Australians of Black African Decent in 20 years time. the only reason why people have a problem with these people is because they have only become recently, they will assimulate don’t worry, they need our support to bring them through just like the Vietnamese.
July 25th, 2009 at 3:38 am
“Australia’s population is growing rapidly. In March 2009 it stood at 21.6 million. The current Prime Minister, Kevin Rudd, takes it for granted that it will grow to 35 million by 2051. In 1999 when Philip Ruddock was Minister for Immigration he told Australians that there was no need for a population policy because we were unlikely to grow much beyond 23 million. He added that the ‘nation cannot afford to return to [an immigration] program characterised by big numbers and little thought’. Nonetheless the current growth surge, keenly embraced by the new Labor Government, began quietly under the Coalition soon after Ruddock’s 1999 statement.
Much of Australia’s growth is directly due to immigration (nearly 60 per cent in 2007–08) and much of the growth from natural increase is attributable to the Australia-born children of immigrants. For example, in 2007, 25 per cent of all births were to overseas-born mothers.
For those with their eyes open population growth and the immigration that fuels it are never out of the news. There is the unaffordable housing that drives young families into debt slavery (even pushing some to the less-expensive urban fringe where a number died in Melbourne’s recent fires). There is strained infrastructure leading to blackouts, cancelled train services, and to traffic congestion, draining energy from the economy and from human lives. There are hospitals that can no longer care for the people they serve; water supplies that dwindle as drought and growth desiccate cities and stretch the capacity of farms; pleasant suburbs degraded by intensive redevelopment; greenhouse gases that refuse to abate; and a natural environment wilting under the burden of numbers.
But while stories of water shortages and degraded infrastructure abound, few of the public figures who comment on them acknowledge the role of population growth in creating these problems and making them harder to overcome.”
Read the rest:
http://candobetter.org/node/1182
July 25th, 2009 at 3:48 am
“Instead of using land to build farms and factories, Australia and New Zealand are now being turned into big housing estates for people from crowded countries to retire, or sem-retire to.”
The Federal Government is also allowing our universities to be shamelessly used as visa factories for foreign students lured here solely by the promise of permanent residency upon graduation. As Peter Wilkinson wrote in his excellent book “The Howard Legacy: Displacement of Traditional Australia from the Professional and Managerial Classes”, Australia’s universities “market themselves as providing education but they know, and certainly their prospective applicants know, that they are marketing permanent residency visas.”
http://www.amren.com/ar/2008/01/#article1
July 25th, 2009 at 4:06 am
More about “The Howard Legacy”:
http://www.theindependentaustralian.com.au/node/10
August 11th, 2009 at 6:17 pm
Asian people need to try to accept western culture including the language?
Are you kidding me? Most Asians know more about Australian history than Australians. And as for “westernizing”… the world is going into a multi-polar world… if you havent notice only 11% of the world will be of european decent by 2050. Why dont you learn to UN-westernize instead of pretending you still control the earth.
August 16th, 2009 at 12:31 am
every wealthy so called skilled migrant who immigates to australia is increasing the cost of a house through the roof. These people have unlimited wealth resources. Australians who were born here, will never have the level of wealth that is being brought into this country. The government knows this,but dont care about quality of life anymore. Our government schools and primary schools are now taking international students, something our unis have been doing for 15 years.what a joke. Countries have lost there soul, there nothing more than economies now, enlisting the rich to keep the money production line going. I only hope the level of debt most countries are in will reduce house prices for one, which in australia are extremely high. When i left my bakery apprentiship in 1992 i had saved 35,000$ and could have bought a 1 bedroom unit(3 and a half years on an apprentice wage) . You cant do that now. Remember every new humanoid addition increases the cost of living, Stop overpopulating the earth people.
August 16th, 2009 at 4:41 pm
“And as for “westernizing”… the world is going into a multi-polar world… if you havent notice only 11% of the world will be of european decent by 2050. Why dont you learn to UN-westernize instead of pretending you still control the earth.”
If Western culture really is endangered and European-descended people are a vanishing minority, then it makes sense to preserve Western culture and nations while we still can. After all, if it’s okay for non-Western peoples and nations to fiercely preserve their cultures and nations, then why can’t Westerners do the same?
Besides, it seems you’ve missed the point anyway. Nobody is talking about Westernizing or ruling the world. We’re just talking about keeping Western countries Western, that is, European. The rest of the world’s nations can keep their cultures, just let us keep ours. We didn’t build the most prosperous, free, stable, and advanced societies the world has ever seen just so the freeloading Third Worlders could move in and enjoy all the benefits.
Oh sorry, I forgot, you believe we should be “UN-westernizing” because non-Western culture is evidently so superior. Yep. That’s why non-Western peoples keep moving en masse into Western countries and not vice versa.
August 26th, 2009 at 1:48 am
“At the present rate Australia will have a population of about 50 million by mid century and 100 million by the end of the century. If this sounds implausible, consider that at the end of World War II, just 64 years ago, Australia’s population was only 7.5 million, i.e. it has almost tripled in that time.
This population growth should be considered an economic and environmental problem of huge proportions.”
Full article:
“Population: a big problem but easy to solve” – http://www.onlineopinion.com.au/view.asp?article=9283&page=0
August 26th, 2009 at 2:29 am
In response to tungie, let me say this: if Third World immigrants don’t wish to assimilate into the Western European-derived culture of mainstream Australia, then they shouldn’t come.
Believe it or not, we don’t need mass Third World immigration. We were already a fully-developed, prosperous country in the 1970s earning high wages and paying lower taxes, all without the help of the Third World masses who now reside on our territory.
September 9th, 2009 at 4:22 pm
I must say Shane is just really ignorant….. ‘what people dont understand is migrants dont migrate here to help our economy they come here to create there own economy.’ Of course they help our economy, what do they bring their house and energy supplies with them, do they not buy their groceries/clothes etc. from Australia.
‘Ever seen an asian eatery hiring westerns?’
Yes i have seen asian eateries hire westerns and you will notice that most westerners do not want to do jobs such as serve food to people and perceive it is not a very good job to have.
‘Ever seen chinese people driving in abundance holdens and fords,no they drive japanese cars.’
Japanese cars are usually cheaper and much more economical. You’ll find that the majority of your fellow westerner will be driving japanese cars too.
‘West and East will never mix its just not possible.’
Yeah because of people like you, like it or not we all are migrants from somewhere.
September 20th, 2009 at 8:35 am
the world runs ( or it used to) on cheap oil
the International Energy Agency (IEA) has predicted global crude oil production will peak by 2020-2030
phosphate,essential for plant growth, read food, is predicted ( by the Global Phosphate Research Initiative) to peak by 2033
the combination of restrictions on energy and food will possibly result in mass starvation worldwide
and climate change won’t help either
we need to stop subsidizing sex in Australia ( baby bribe and family benefit) as well as reducing net migration
human population growth cannot continue on a finite planet
January 19th, 2010 at 12:01 pm
If the governments local state and federal, actually did their job in providing basic services with a strategic plan, most of the issues of over crowding could have been averted. Furthermore, migrants offset the australia ageing population, who is going to pay for the retiered baby boomers pensions?
Why has australia averted much of the GFC, becuase of the positioning of australia with China. It would be foolish to not have migrants as businesses will not acquire cultural knowledge and skills in conducting business with other contries.
The real question you should ask is australia really up for a challenge?
In the long term future australia will be in a position where it must compete for resources. If we give up now in the global competition australia will be left behind or subtly taken over with no negotiating power.